Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.006441 0.007212 0.008051 0.009034 0.010157 0.011403 0.012893
2025-02-16 0.005235 0.006294 0.007545 0.009139 0.011130 0.013552 0.016747
2025-02-23 0.004471 0.005628 0.007067 0.009009 0.011584 0.014921 0.019632
2025-03-02 0.004030 0.005265 0.006871 0.009138 0.012302 0.016630 0.023112
2025-03-09 0.003627 0.004887 0.006584 0.009078 0.012712 0.017918 0.026132
2025-03-16 0.003202 0.004427 0.006126 0.008706 0.012605 0.018418 0.028008
2025-03-23 0.002945 0.004170 0.005920 0.008660 0.012950 0.019598 0.031058
2025-03-30 0.002842 0.004123 0.006005 0.009048 0.013985 0.021947 0.036320
2025-04-06 0.002587 0.003824 0.005684 0.008766 0.013913 0.022485 0.038547
2025-04-13 0.002375 0.003573 0.005412 0.008532 0.013886 0.023078 0.040932
2025-04-20 0.002236 0.003424 0.005285 0.008520 0.014226 0.024331 0.044701
2025-04-27 0.002173 0.003389 0.005336 0.008807 0.015110 0.026654 0.050873
2025-05-04 0.002034 0.003226 0.005173 0.008722 0.015345 0.027854 0.055097
2025-05-11 0.001936 0.003123 0.005103 0.008799 0.015893 0.029736 0.061109
2025-05-18 0.001814 0.002970 0.004934 0.008676 0.016037 0.030824 0.065548
2025-05-25 0.001743 0.002899 0.004900 0.008800 0.016677 0.033003 0.072865
2025-06-01 0.001651 0.002784 0.004778 0.008742 0.016942 0.034418 0.078615
2025-06-08 0.001524 0.002599 0.004516 0.008386 0.016545 0.034335 0.080636
2025-06-15 0.001451 0.002505 0.004415 0.008342 0.016807 0.035761 0.086791
2025-06-22 0.001436 0.002518 0.004515 0.008713 0.018012 0.039526 0.099946
2025-06-29 0.001344 0.002379 0.004314 0.008443 0.017753 0.039767 0.103368
2025-07-06 0.001264 0.002259 0.004143 0.008219 0.017576 0.040189 0.107403
2025-07-13 0.001213 0.002193 0.004073 0.008208 0.017894 0.041895 0.115619